Communications research round-up
Here's what the communications industry analysts are saying in their latest reports
Build fibre, telcos told
European telcos should build fibre networks, because DSL is falling behind cable and fibre in terms of speed and price, according to Research and Markets. The report argues that fibre will enable telcos to compete with cable companies, especially as bandwidth-hungry HDTV services take off. It also predicts that 100Mbit/s will become the market average in most European markets within five years.
One billion cloud computing users by 2014
ABI Research forecasts that the number of mobile cloud computing subscribers worldwide will grow from 42.8 million subscribers in 2008, (approximately 1.1% of all mobile subscribers) to just over 998 million in 2014 (nearly 19%). Mobile cloud applications move computing power and data storage away from mobile phones and into the cloud, bringing apps and mobile computing to not just smartphone users but a much broader range of mobile subscribers.
According to senior analyst Mark Beccue, “From 2008 through 2010, subscriber numbers will be driven by location-enabled services, particularly navigation and map applications. A total of 60% of the mobile Cloud application subscribers worldwide will use an application enabled by location during these years.”
European broadband grows to 135 million subscribers
The Broadband Forum says global broadband usage grew by 12.9 million lines in the second quarter of 2009 to reach 445 million, while IPTV growth remained strong at 11 per cent - reaching 26.9 million.
Broadband subscriptions in Europe grew 13 per cent overall, to reach 135 million, including a growth of 29 per cent in Eastern Europe. Europe is the second largest broadband region in the world
Europe continues to lead the IPTV success story with 13,631,074 subscribers, a 51 per cent growth over the twelve months to July 2009. In the second quarter 2009, there was a healthy six per cent growth in Western Europe – where France leads with more than seven million subscribers – and 12 per cent in Eastern Europe, where services have launched in Poland, Czech Republic, Slovenia and Russia.
Based on data provided for the Forum by industry analysts Point Topic:
Wireless home networking outstrips wired
WiFi networks will outnumber wired networks in homes by the end of the year,according to InStat.
Home network users are continuing to migrate to newer and faster home networking connectivity technologies, including Gigabit Ethernet, 802.11n and alternative wire technologies, such as coax, powerline and phone wiring. Many WiFi users are also moving from 802.11b to the more robust 802.11g, and even to draft 802.11n -compatible products.
“Another notable trend is that the use of home networks for more than just Internet sharing among North American users increased from 41.8% in 2008 to 49.7% in 2009,” says Joyce Putscher, In-Stat analyst. “But most consumers have not yet bridged the chasm between the PC and consumer electronics (CE) worlds by adding CE devices to their networks.”
Femtocell market to flourish as users chase bandwidth at home
Demand for improved 3G reception for residential mobile voice and broadband use will drive sales of femtocells in the next few years, according to Juniper Research. Subscriber numbers could exceed 15 million worldwide during 2012.
The company says that femtocells will begin as standalone units but later become part of home wireless routers, to form a mix-and-match home network services gateway.
Howard Wilco, the report's author, said: "Surveys such as that by Orange in March show that most mobile usage takes place from our homes. Poor indoor signal strength and slow web access are quite common problems faced by users. Femtocells offer an attractive solution – both for users and network operators who themselves can achieve economies through data traffic offload.”