Old school CIOs face extinction by disruptive technologies

Disruptive technologies will shape IT over the next five years, predicts market watcher Gartner - but CIOs who see their jobs as just keeping the data centre running will soon become extinct.

Social networking technologies, web mashups, multicore and hybrid processors and cloud computing are among the ten most disruptive technologies to shape IT over the next five years, predicts market watcher Gartner.

Speaking at the Gartner Emerging Trends and Technologies Roadshow in Melbourne, Gartner Fellow David Cearley said that business IT applications will start to mirror the features found in popular consumer social software (such as Facebook and MySpace) as enterprises seek to improve employee collaboration, and harness the community feedback of customers. ̶0;Social software provides a platform that encourages participation and feedback from employees and customers alike,̶1; he says. ̶0;The added value for businesses is being able to collect this feedback into a single point that reflects collective attitudes, which can help shape a business strategy.̶1;

Multicore processors are expanding the horizons of what̵7;s possible with software, but single-threaded applications won't be able to take advantage of their power, Cearley believes. 

Enterprises should therefore ̶0;perform an audit to identify applications that will need remediation to continue to meet service-level requirements in the multicore era̶1;. Gartner reckons that by 2010 web mashups - mixing content from publicly-available sources - will be the dominant model (80 per cent) for the creation of new enterprise applications.

According to Cearley, chief information officers (CIOs) who see their jobs as ̶0;keeping the data centre running, business continuity planning and finding new technology toys to show to people̶1;, will be extinct: instead, they will have to think beyond the constraints of conventional, in order to identify the technologies that might be in widespread use a few years from now.

Gartner recommends that CIOs establish a formal mechanism for evaluating emerging trends and technologies, set up virtual teams of their best staff, and give them time to spend researching new ideas and innovations, especially those that are being driven by consumer and Web 2.0 technologies.

Gartner̵7;s Emerging Trends and Technologies Roadshow continues in Singapore on Tuesday 3 June, and Hong Kong on Thursday 5 June 2008.

Gartner̵7;s top 10 disruptive technologies 2008-2012

  1. Multicore and hybrid processors
  2. Virtualisation and fabric computing
  3. Social networks and social software
  4. Cloud computing and cloud/Web platforms
  5. Web mashups
  6. User Interface
  7. Ubiquitous computing
  8. Contextual computing
  9. Augmented reality
  10. Semantics

Further information:
susan.moore@gartner.com

Image: CIOs who see their jobs as just keeping the data centre running, business continuity planning and finding new technology toys to show to people, will become extinct

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